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Is Bitcoin’s Bull Run Over at $111K? Five Market Signals to Watch

Bitcoin Faces Its $111K Test

Bitcoin’s powerful rally is suddenly looking less invincible. After weeks of steady climbs and brief surges, BTC is now stuck near $111K resistance, and traders are wondering: is the Bitcoin bull run out of steam, or just catching its breath?

The coming week is shaping up as a critical stretch. From macro uncertainty to technical support, several factors are converging to decide whether momentum can continue or if the market is about to cool off.

Market Signals Say Slowdown

The mood is shifting. Analysts note that daily candles show clear rejection around the $111K zone, suggesting bulls are losing strength. Shorter timeframes highlight fading price momentum, while volumes have thinned out compared to the euphoria of earlier weeks.

This doesn’t mean the run is definitively over, but it does suggest a pause. Some traders are already preparing for a retracement toward $107K, or deeper if support walls don’t hold.

Fed Uncertainty Keeps Investors Guessing

One of the big wild cards this week is the Federal Reserve. With U.S. inflation reports on the horizon and September policy meetings creeping closer, speculation is swirling about whether the Fed might delay cuts.

Any sign of hesitation on monetary easing could weigh heavily on risk assets, including Bitcoin. It’s why investor sentiment feels cautious, with many choosing to wait on Powell’s words instead of rushing into fresh longs. Fed uncertainty is casting a long shadow across every chart right now.

Global Backdrop: Trade Deals and Equities

Another piece of the puzzle comes from traditional markets. U.S. equities are drifting, shrugging off big trade headlines like the U.S.–E.U. agreement. If stocks stay muted, crypto could continue to decouple but in a way that leaves Bitcoin more exposed to its own technicals rather than broader risk appetite.

In that sense, BTC is moving into a moment where its own liquidity and leverage dynamics will tell the story.

Momentum Versus Exhaustion

One of the classic signs of late-stage rallies is heavy liquidations on shorts followed by sideways chop. That’s exactly what we saw during Bitcoin’s recent spike: bears were squeezed hard, sending prices soaring, but follow-through buying was limited.

If BTC can consolidate above $111K and build fresh demand, the bull run may have more fuel. If not, the market risks drifting into a corrective phase. Watching futures funding rates and leverage will be crucial to know which way the scales tip.

What Traders Should Watch This Week

  • Whether Bitcoin can reclaim $111K with conviction or continues to stall.
  • Powell’s remarks and how Fed policy expectations shift.
  • The depth of support around $107K–$108K.
  • ETF flows and liquidity metrics, which will show whether institutions are still buying dips.
  • Broader investor sentiment does the crowd remain optimistic, or is caution the new default?

Conclusion

The Bitcoin bull run isn’t dead but it’s very much on trial at $111K resistance. This week’s trading will likely decide whether we get another leg higher, or a reset before trying again. Macro signals like the Fed’s tone, coupled with technical support and ETF activity, will shape the outcome.

For now, momentum is fragile. Traders should prepare for a week of heightened watchfulness because what happens around $111K could define the next chapter of Bitcoin’s story.

BitcoinBlockchainCryptoWeb3Analysis

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